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[title] => Ugledni američki general: ‘Ukrajina može vratiti Krim za nekoliko mjeseci, samo ako joj to dopustimo!‘
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„Neki zapadni političari vjeruju da je nemoguće, ili možda nepoželjno, da Ukrajina ponovno preuzme Krim, i umjesto toga se zalažu za lažni mir prema kojem bi Kijev pristao da poluotok ostane u sivoj zoni. Možda čak žele status quo, s ostankom Krima pod potpunom kontrolom Rusije. Takvi političari ne razumiju vojnu strategiju i ne znaju čitati karte, ocijenio je general pukovnik Ben Hodges bivši zapovjednik kopnenih snaga američke vojske u Europi.
Za britanski The Telegraph naveo je kako u pozadini krimskog problema leži činjenica da zapadni lideri još uvijek nisu načisto žele li doista tu pobjedu Ukrajine.
„Da jesu, nema sumnje da bi ukrajinske snage ovog ljeta trebale biti podržane u njihovom nastojanju da povrate Krim, što bi dovelo do potpunog kolapsa ruske invazije, ističe iskusni general. Smatra kako nijedna količina političke sofistike (namjerno izvrtanje istine i izvlačenje zaključaka na osnovi prividnih dokaza) neće promijeniti činjenicu da je Krim odlučujući teren u ovom ratu.
„Možete ubiti mnogo stotina Rusa na rubovima Bahmuta i imati malo strateškog učinka. Ali ako uklonite stotine ljudi iz Sevastopolja, ruske mornaričke baze na Krimu, promijenili ste tijek povijesti i učinkovito završili rat, nema dileme Hodges.
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On zagovara plan koji bi se odvijao u tri faze. Prvi zadatak - izolacija Krima - može se ostvariti odmah uspješnom ukrajinskom ofenzivom koja počinje ovoga ljeta. Uvjeren je da ukrajinske snage lako mogu probiti tzv. ruski okupirani kopneni most. Drugi zadatak je učiniti Krim neodrživim za ruske snage. To se može učiniti dugodometnim preciznim raketama koje šalje Zapad, a kojima se može ciljati mornarička baza u Sevastopolju i desetak drugih baza poput Sakija, logističkog čvorišta u Džankoju i glavnog ruskog sjedišta u Heničesku. Posljednji zadatak bio bi osloboditi sam Krim i zauzeti poluotok i dokrajčiti Kerčki most koji Krim povezuje s Rusijom.
„Ukrajinci imaju volju, ljudstvo i vojnu sposobnost za sve ovo. Zapadni političari se samo trebaju složiti da je to najbrži način da se završi rat i Ukrajini dati oružje koje joj treba, komentira Hodges.
Nema potrebe putovati svijetom u potrazi za "diplomatskim rješenjem" - koje značiti podjelu ukrajinske zemlje - kada je ovo puno jednostavnije rješenje spremno za preuzimanje. Za nekoliko mjeseci, ne godina, to bi donijelo mir. Ruska bi mornarica izgubila svoje najveće središte, a Putin i njegovi zli pomagači u Kremlju bili bi poniženi do te mjere da bi njihova administracija pala u duboku opasnost. Nije li ovo bolji put za međunarodni poredak utemeljen na pravilima?
---
---
Hodges drži kako i sam ruski narod gubi volju da brani Krim.
„Nekada se govorilo da čak i ruski lideri koje smo poštovali – oni poput Alekseja Navaljnog, koji su se suprotstavili Putinovoj opresivnoj vladavini – vjeruju da Krim treba biti pripojen Rusiji, podsjeća general. Navalni je dugo vremena odbijao javno podržati trenutni povratak Krima Ukrajini. Ipak, neuspjeh Putinove invazije promijenio je stvari. U veljači je ruski disident objavio plan u 15 točaka u kojem je iznio svoju viziju poslijeratne Rusije. U njemu se navodi da bi granice Ukrajine trebale biti one koje su priznate i definirane 1991. godine – što uključuje Krim.
Ista se promjena može uočiti u široj društvenoj zajednici. Putinova aneksija Krima bila je izuzetno popularna kada je bila jednostavna i bez krvi. A daleko manje popularna kada su ugroženi ruski životi. Sjećate li se prizora turista koji su bježali s poluotoka čim su pale prve rakete? Nisu pokazivali nikakvu privrženost toj navodno "svetoj" ruskoj zemlji.
---
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„Rusija nije ono što je nekada bila, jer je izgubila samopouzdanje i vojno poštovanje. Njihova posljednja nada je očajnički čekati da se politički vjetrovi promijene na Zapadu. Hoćemo li im dati tu priliku? Ili ćemo konačno poručiti svijetu da će Europa biti branjena? - pita se bivši je zapovjednik američke vojske u Europi.
On je mišljenja kako je ukrajinski Glavni stožer postavio nevjerojatan primjer vojnim planerima u Europi. „Njihovo djelovanje je metodično, profesionalno i disciplinirano. Njihovo razumijevanje operativnog dizajna na bojnom polju i operativne sigurnosti nikada nije kao rusko. Stoga sa sigurnošću možemo zaključiti da, s pravim oružjem, Ukrajina može spriječiti veliki ruski prodor bilo gdje na bojnom polju. Ali više od toga, Ukrajina može ponovno preuzeti Krim vrlo brzo – zaključuje.
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„Neki zapadni političari vjeruju da je nemoguće, ili možda nepoželjno, da Ukrajina ponovno preuzme Krim, i umjesto toga se zalažu za lažni mir prema kojem bi Kijev pristao da poluotok ostane u sivoj zoni. Možda čak žele status quo, s ostankom Krima pod potpunom kontrolom Rusije. Takvi političari ne razumiju vojnu strategiju i ne znaju čitati karte, ocijenio je general pukovnik Ben Hodges bivši zapovjednik kopnenih snaga američke vojske u Europi.
Za britanski The Telegraph naveo je kako u pozadini krimskog problema leži činjenica da zapadni lideri još uvijek nisu načisto žele li doista tu pobjedu Ukrajine.
„Da jesu, nema sumnje da bi ukrajinske snage ovog ljeta trebale biti podržane u njihovom nastojanju da povrate Krim, što bi dovelo do potpunog kolapsa ruske invazije, ističe iskusni general. Smatra kako nijedna količina političke sofistike (namjerno izvrtanje istine i izvlačenje zaključaka na osnovi prividnih dokaza) neće promijeniti činjenicu da je Krim odlučujući teren u ovom ratu.
„Možete ubiti mnogo stotina Rusa na rubovima Bahmuta i imati malo strateškog učinka. Ali ako uklonite stotine ljudi iz Sevastopolja, ruske mornaričke baze na Krimu, promijenili ste tijek povijesti i učinkovito završili rat, nema dileme Hodges.
---
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On zagovara plan koji bi se odvijao u tri faze. Prvi zadatak - izolacija Krima - može se ostvariti odmah uspješnom ukrajinskom ofenzivom koja počinje ovoga ljeta. Uvjeren je da ukrajinske snage lako mogu probiti tzv. ruski okupirani kopneni most. Drugi zadatak je učiniti Krim neodrživim za ruske snage. To se može učiniti dugodometnim preciznim raketama koje šalje Zapad, a kojima se može ciljati mornarička baza u Sevastopolju i desetak drugih baza poput Sakija, logističkog čvorišta u Džankoju i glavnog ruskog sjedišta u Heničesku. Posljednji zadatak bio bi osloboditi sam Krim i zauzeti poluotok i dokrajčiti Kerčki most koji Krim povezuje s Rusijom.
„Ukrajinci imaju volju, ljudstvo i vojnu sposobnost za sve ovo. Zapadni političari se samo trebaju složiti da je to najbrži način da se završi rat i Ukrajini dati oružje koje joj treba, komentira Hodges.
Nema potrebe putovati svijetom u potrazi za "diplomatskim rješenjem" - koje značiti podjelu ukrajinske zemlje - kada je ovo puno jednostavnije rješenje spremno za preuzimanje. Za nekoliko mjeseci, ne godina, to bi donijelo mir. Ruska bi mornarica izgubila svoje najveće središte, a Putin i njegovi zli pomagači u Kremlju bili bi poniženi do te mjere da bi njihova administracija pala u duboku opasnost. Nije li ovo bolji put za međunarodni poredak utemeljen na pravilima?
---
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Hodges drži kako i sam ruski narod gubi volju da brani Krim.
„Nekada se govorilo da čak i ruski lideri koje smo poštovali – oni poput Alekseja Navaljnog, koji su se suprotstavili Putinovoj opresivnoj vladavini – vjeruju da Krim treba biti pripojen Rusiji, podsjeća general. Navalni je dugo vremena odbijao javno podržati trenutni povratak Krima Ukrajini. Ipak, neuspjeh Putinove invazije promijenio je stvari. U veljači je ruski disident objavio plan u 15 točaka u kojem je iznio svoju viziju poslijeratne Rusije. U njemu se navodi da bi granice Ukrajine trebale biti one koje su priznate i definirane 1991. godine – što uključuje Krim.
Ista se promjena može uočiti u široj društvenoj zajednici. Putinova aneksija Krima bila je izuzetno popularna kada je bila jednostavna i bez krvi. A daleko manje popularna kada su ugroženi ruski životi. Sjećate li se prizora turista koji su bježali s poluotoka čim su pale prve rakete? Nisu pokazivali nikakvu privrženost toj navodno "svetoj" ruskoj zemlji.
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„Rusija nije ono što je nekada bila, jer je izgubila samopouzdanje i vojno poštovanje. Njihova posljednja nada je očajnički čekati da se politički vjetrovi promijene na Zapadu. Hoćemo li im dati tu priliku? Ili ćemo konačno poručiti svijetu da će Europa biti branjena? - pita se bivši je zapovjednik američke vojske u Europi.
On je mišljenja kako je ukrajinski Glavni stožer postavio nevjerojatan primjer vojnim planerima u Europi. „Njihovo djelovanje je metodično, profesionalno i disciplinirano. Njihovo razumijevanje operativnog dizajna na bojnom polju i operativne sigurnosti nikada nije kao rusko. Stoga sa sigurnošću možemo zaključiti da, s pravim oružjem, Ukrajina može spriječiti veliki ruski prodor bilo gdje na bojnom polju. Ali više od toga, Ukrajina može ponovno preuzeti Krim vrlo brzo – zaključuje.
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20. svibanj 2024 04:33
