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Dok danima prate zračne napade, te grozničavo provjeravaju svoje osobno oružje, komunikaciju i mreže, tisuće izraelskih vojnika spremnih na borbu ovih se dana oko Pojasa Gaze zacijelo pitaju i je li ulazak u ovu palestinsku enklavu zapravo zamka?
Hamas i njegovi sponzori u Teheranu sigurno su planirali suočenje s izraelskom kopnenom ofenzivom već nakon terorističkog upada u Izrael.
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Moguće je i da su napadi na civile bili toliko bezdušni i brutalni upravo kako bi se ishodio masovni izraelski odgovor. Sljedeći potezi Izraela odrediti će buduće događaje na Bliskom istoku možda i za iduća desetljeća. A sve se svodi na Gazu.
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Hamas je prošarao oblast gustom mrežom tunela. Krajolik iznad zemlje prošarat će zamkama, minama, snajperskim i mitraljeskim gnijezdima. IDF čekaju rojevi bombaša samoubojica i grupe za odvođenje živih vojnika u taoce, uz još kojekakve opasnosti.
Američki generali ovih dana dijele s Izraelom svoja iskustva urbanog ratovanja. Iračkoj vojsci – potpomognutoj američkim, britanskim i drugim specijalnim snagama, uz stalne nemilosrdne zračne napade – trebalo je 2017. devet mjeseci da istjera ISIL iz Mosula. ISIL je također koristio sustave tunela za zasjede vladinim trupama koje su Mosul morale zauzimati ciglu po ciglu.
Bombaške vještine Hezbollaha, libanonske militantne skupine i bliskog saveznika Hamasa, metastazirale su po cijelom Bliskom istoku. U Gazi će izraelske trupe sigurno čekati improvizirane eksplozivne naprave po njihovom receptu, a koje mogu onesposobiti tenk. Hamas ima i protuzračna oruđa, pa su izraelski helikopteri Apache za podršku pješaštvu ranjivi na projektile zemlja-zrak.
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Hamas također ima i grupe propagandista koje će sigurno napraviti "ubojite video snimke" svojih napada na izraelske trupe. Ništa neće tako efikasno radikalizirati bijesne palestinske mladiće kao filmovi puni krvi i odvažnosti. Iran nimalo uvijeno prijeti radikalizacijom cijele regije u slučaju masovnog napada na Gazu. Zamke postavljene protiv Izraela mogle bi imati široke i opasne posljedice, na rubu "sukoba civilizacija" koji je uslijedio nakon američkog 11. rujna. Izvori CNN-a u Washingtonu izrazili su ozbiljnu zabrinutost da bi velika izraelska kopnena operacija mogla izazvati požar koji bi mogao izmaći kontroli, baš poput kaosa koji je zavladao Irakom američkog svrgavanja Saddama Husseina. I druge zapadne zemlje žele izbjeći sukob koji bi se mogao smatrati ponovnim ratom protiv cijelog islama.
Svi izraelski neprijatelji – do kraja posvećeni uništenju te države – sastali su se nedavno u Libanonu. Vođa Hezbollaha Hassan Nasrallah sastao se u srijedu sa zamjenikom šefa Hamasa Salehom Al-Arourijem i glavnim tajnikom Palestinskog islamskog džihada Ziadom Al-Nakhlom. Sigurno su i čuvari iz Iranske revolucionarne gardei Quds brigade, vodećeg međunarodnog vojnog i obavještajnog ogranka Teherana, bili negdje blizu. Brigada Quds godinama je obučavala, financirala i vodila sve tri skupine.
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Hezbollah je već odvlačio izraelske snage od isključivog fokusa na Gazu sukobima duž južne granice Libanona. SAD je optužio Iran za slanje iračkih opunomoćenika da napadnu američke logističke baze u Bagdadu. Kotao sukoba nastavio se kuhati i pokušajima Hutija u Jemenu (koje podržava Iran) da ispale projektile prema Izraelu, koje su oborile mornaričke snage SAD-a. Amerikancima i europskim državljanima se već danima govori da napuste zemlje oko Izraela; i Australci imaju tri zrakoplova za evakuaciju u pripravnosti. Iran je najviše u fokusu poradi mogućih napada na američke snage: možda samo pokušavaju odvratiti pažnju Washingtona od Izraela i Gaze, a možda zbilja potiču SAD na veći sukob koji bi ovi svakako rado izbjegli. Joe Biden je u više navrata savjetovao oprez u razgovorima s izraelskim premijerom. Svojedobne pogreške Ameriku su dovele do invazije na Irak i širenja uvjerenja da je islam napadnut od Zapada. Potom je uslijedio kaos na Bliskom istoku, stvaranje Islamske države i teroristički napadi širom svijeta.
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Izraelci su, usprkos svemu, ipak uporni u svojim strateškim promišljanjima i smatraju da moraju snažno ući u Gazu. Još će tisuće Palestinaca u tom slučaju biti sigurno ubijeno, a deseci tisuća ranjeno. Ako se taj rat završi, Palestinci iz Gaze vjerojatno će biti zadržani na daleko manjem području i podvrgnuti intenzivnom izraelskom nadzoru.
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To bi, umjesto iskorjenjivanja Hamasa, lako moglo rezultirati novim desecima tisuća bijesnih mladih Palestinaca koji će se pridružiti ovoj organizaciji ili možda radikalnijem nasljedniku. Intenzivno uništavanje Gaze moglo bi lako i premjestiti poprište izraelsko-palestinskog sukoba na Zapadnu obalu. Antiizraelsko raspoloženje tamo je sve veće, a Hamas se već duboko infiltrirao u Palestinsku samoupravu.
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Dok danima prate zračne napade, te grozničavo provjeravaju svoje osobno oružje, komunikaciju i mreže, tisuće izraelskih vojnika spremnih na borbu ovih se dana oko Pojasa Gaze zacijelo pitaju i je li ulazak u ovu palestinsku enklavu zapravo zamka?
Hamas i njegovi sponzori u Teheranu sigurno su planirali suočenje s izraelskom kopnenom ofenzivom već nakon terorističkog upada u Izrael.
---
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Moguće je i da su napadi na civile bili toliko bezdušni i brutalni upravo kako bi se ishodio masovni izraelski odgovor. Sljedeći potezi Izraela odrediti će buduće događaje na Bliskom istoku možda i za iduća desetljeća. A sve se svodi na Gazu.
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Hamas je prošarao oblast gustom mrežom tunela. Krajolik iznad zemlje prošarat će zamkama, minama, snajperskim i mitraljeskim gnijezdima. IDF čekaju rojevi bombaša samoubojica i grupe za odvođenje živih vojnika u taoce, uz još kojekakve opasnosti.
Američki generali ovih dana dijele s Izraelom svoja iskustva urbanog ratovanja. Iračkoj vojsci – potpomognutoj američkim, britanskim i drugim specijalnim snagama, uz stalne nemilosrdne zračne napade – trebalo je 2017. devet mjeseci da istjera ISIL iz Mosula. ISIL je također koristio sustave tunela za zasjede vladinim trupama koje su Mosul morale zauzimati ciglu po ciglu.
Bombaške vještine Hezbollaha, libanonske militantne skupine i bliskog saveznika Hamasa, metastazirale su po cijelom Bliskom istoku. U Gazi će izraelske trupe sigurno čekati improvizirane eksplozivne naprave po njihovom receptu, a koje mogu onesposobiti tenk. Hamas ima i protuzračna oruđa, pa su izraelski helikopteri Apache za podršku pješaštvu ranjivi na projektile zemlja-zrak.
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Hamas također ima i grupe propagandista koje će sigurno napraviti "ubojite video snimke" svojih napada na izraelske trupe. Ništa neće tako efikasno radikalizirati bijesne palestinske mladiće kao filmovi puni krvi i odvažnosti. Iran nimalo uvijeno prijeti radikalizacijom cijele regije u slučaju masovnog napada na Gazu. Zamke postavljene protiv Izraela mogle bi imati široke i opasne posljedice, na rubu "sukoba civilizacija" koji je uslijedio nakon američkog 11. rujna. Izvori CNN-a u Washingtonu izrazili su ozbiljnu zabrinutost da bi velika izraelska kopnena operacija mogla izazvati požar koji bi mogao izmaći kontroli, baš poput kaosa koji je zavladao Irakom američkog svrgavanja Saddama Husseina. I druge zapadne zemlje žele izbjeći sukob koji bi se mogao smatrati ponovnim ratom protiv cijelog islama.
Svi izraelski neprijatelji – do kraja posvećeni uništenju te države – sastali su se nedavno u Libanonu. Vođa Hezbollaha Hassan Nasrallah sastao se u srijedu sa zamjenikom šefa Hamasa Salehom Al-Arourijem i glavnim tajnikom Palestinskog islamskog džihada Ziadom Al-Nakhlom. Sigurno su i čuvari iz Iranske revolucionarne gardei Quds brigade, vodećeg međunarodnog vojnog i obavještajnog ogranka Teherana, bili negdje blizu. Brigada Quds godinama je obučavala, financirala i vodila sve tri skupine.
---
---
Hezbollah je već odvlačio izraelske snage od isključivog fokusa na Gazu sukobima duž južne granice Libanona. SAD je optužio Iran za slanje iračkih opunomoćenika da napadnu američke logističke baze u Bagdadu. Kotao sukoba nastavio se kuhati i pokušajima Hutija u Jemenu (koje podržava Iran) da ispale projektile prema Izraelu, koje su oborile mornaričke snage SAD-a. Amerikancima i europskim državljanima se već danima govori da napuste zemlje oko Izraela; i Australci imaju tri zrakoplova za evakuaciju u pripravnosti. Iran je najviše u fokusu poradi mogućih napada na američke snage: možda samo pokušavaju odvratiti pažnju Washingtona od Izraela i Gaze, a možda zbilja potiču SAD na veći sukob koji bi ovi svakako rado izbjegli. Joe Biden je u više navrata savjetovao oprez u razgovorima s izraelskim premijerom. Svojedobne pogreške Ameriku su dovele do invazije na Irak i širenja uvjerenja da je islam napadnut od Zapada. Potom je uslijedio kaos na Bliskom istoku, stvaranje Islamske države i teroristički napadi širom svijeta.
---
---
Izraelci su, usprkos svemu, ipak uporni u svojim strateškim promišljanjima i smatraju da moraju snažno ući u Gazu. Još će tisuće Palestinaca u tom slučaju biti sigurno ubijeno, a deseci tisuća ranjeno. Ako se taj rat završi, Palestinci iz Gaze vjerojatno će biti zadržani na daleko manjem području i podvrgnuti intenzivnom izraelskom nadzoru.
---
---
To bi, umjesto iskorjenjivanja Hamasa, lako moglo rezultirati novim desecima tisuća bijesnih mladih Palestinaca koji će se pridružiti ovoj organizaciji ili možda radikalnijem nasljedniku. Intenzivno uništavanje Gaze moglo bi lako i premjestiti poprište izraelsko-palestinskog sukoba na Zapadnu obalu. Antiizraelsko raspoloženje tamo je sve veće, a Hamas se već duboko infiltrirao u Palestinsku samoupravu.
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[alias] => promo
)
[8] => stdClass Object
(
[id] => 67
[name] => Contains video
[value] => OFF
[type] => radio
[group] => 9
[published] => 1
[ordering] => 9
[alias] => contains_video
)
[9] => stdClass Object
(
[id] => 68
[name] => Premium content
[value] => ON
[type] => radio
[group] => 9
[published] => 1
[ordering] => 10
[alias] => premium_content
)
[10] => stdClass Object
(
[id] => 69
[name] => Exclude comments
[value] => OFF
[type] => radio
[group] => 9
[published] => 1
[ordering] => 11
[alias] => exclude_comments
)
[11] => stdClass Object
(
[id] => 70
[name] => Open link in new window
[value] => OFF
[type] => radio
[group] => 9
[published] => 1
[ordering] => 12
[alias] => open_link_in_new_window
)
[12] => stdClass Object
(
[id] => 71
[name] => Horizontal crop of the main photo
[value] => OFF
[type] => radio
[group] => 9
[published] => 1
[ordering] => 13
[alias] => horizontal_crop_of_the_main_photo
)
[13] => stdClass Object
(
[id] => 73
[name] => No-index
[value] => OFF
[type] => radio
[group] => 9
[published] => 1
[ordering] => 15
[alias] => no_index
)
[14] => stdClass Object
(
[id] => 74
[name] => No-cache
[value] => OFF
[type] => radio
[group] => 9
[published] => 1
[ordering] => 16
[alias] => no_cache
)
[15] => stdClass Object
(
[id] => 77
[name] => Don't show on the front page
[value] => OFF
[type] => radio
[group] => 9
[published] => 1
[ordering] => 17
[alias] => dont_show_on_the_front_page
)
[16] => stdClass Object
(
[id] => 78
[name] => Related on bottom
[value] => ON
[type] => radio
[group] => 9
[published] => 1
[ordering] => 18
[alias] => related_on_bottom
)
[17] => stdClass Object
(
[id] => 79
[name] => Live button
[value] => OFF
[type] => radio
[group] => 9
[published] => 1
[ordering] => 19
[alias] => live_button
)
[26] => stdClass Object
(
[id] => 87
[name] => Instant articles
[value] => OFF
[type] => radio
[group] => 9
[published] => 1
[ordering] => 28
[alias] => instant_articles
)
[27] => stdClass Object
(
[id] => 91
[name] => S preporučuje
[value] => OFF
[type] => radio
[group] => 9
[published] => 1
[ordering] => 29
[alias] => s_preporucuje
)
[28] => stdClass Object
(
[id] => 92
[name] => S voli
[value] => OFF
[type] => radio
[group] => 9
[published] => 1
[ordering] => 30
[alias] => s_voli
)
[29] => stdClass Object
(
[id] => 93
[name] => Layout with three photos
[value] => OFF
[type] => radio
[group] => 9
[published] => 1
[ordering] => 31
[alias] => layout_with_three_photos
)
[30] => stdClass Object
(
[id] => 94
[name] => Gallery in the article
[value] => OFF
[type] => radio
[group] => 9
[published] => 1
[ordering] => 32
[alias] => gallery_in_the_article
)
[31] => stdClass Object
(
[id] => 95
[name] => Required views
[value] => 0
[type] => textfield
[group] => 9
[published] => 1
[ordering] => 33
[alias] => required_views
)
[32] => stdClass Object
(
[id] => 96
[name] => FullHD image
[value] => OFF
[type] => radio
[group] => 9
[published] => 1
[ordering] => 34
[alias] => fullhd_image
)
[33] => stdClass Object
(
[id] => 97
[name] => City Select
[value] => (0)
[type] => select
[group] => 9
[published] => 1
[ordering] => 35
[alias] => CitySelect
)
[34] => stdClass Object
(
[id] => 98
[name] => Paid Article
[value] => OFF
[type] => radio
[group] => 9
[published] => 1
[ordering] => 36
[alias] => paid_article
)
[35] => stdClass Object
(
[id] => 99
[name] => SD na licu mjesta
[value] => OFF
[type] => radio
[group] => 9
[published] => 1
[ordering] => 37
[alias] => SD_na_licu_mjesta
)
)
16. svibanj 2024 15:33