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[title] => Institut za rat objavio novu kartu bojišnice u Ukrajini, analiza otkriva neke značajne promjene. Kolika panika vlada u ruskim redovima pokazuju i oglasi za novačenje na psihijatriji
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Američki Institut za proučavanje rata (ISW) objavio je novu kartu bojišnice u Ukrajini, a u svojoj analizi tvrde kako ukrajinska protuofenziva značajno slabi ruske logističke i administrativne mogućnosti na okupiranom jugu zemlje. Kao što je ISW ranije izvijestio, plan je ukrajinskih trupa da preciznim napadima na mjesta povećane ruske koncentracije ljudstva i opreme, zapovjedne centre i opskrbne čvorove smanje njihove logističke sposobnosti u području Hersona. Da se neki ruski planovi prolongiraju zbog ukrajinskih borbenih akcija pokazuje i to što lokalne vlasti na okupiranim područjima još nisu uspjele raspisati izjašnjavanje o aneksiji.
ISW primjećuje da su ukrajinski vojni dužnosnici operativno šutjeli o napretku ukrajinske protuofenzive, ali su izvijestili o daljnjem uništavanju ruskih kopnenih linija komunikacije (GLOC) u središtu regije Herson.
Ukrajinsko Južno operativno zapovjedništvo izvijestilo je da su ukrajinske snage oborile dvije ruske izviđačke bespilotne letjelice u mjestu Vysokopillya, no nisu naveli kako su osvojili to područje. Institut je pak procijenio da su ukrajinske snage zauzele naselje 4. rujna na osnovu nekoliko video snimaka na društvenim mrežama.
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S druge strane, veličajući njihova ulogu u borbama, Kremlj pokušava dodatno mobilizirati stanovnike okupiranih područja u regionalne dobrovoljačke bataljuna kako bi nadoknadili ruske gubitke u Ukrajini.
Ruski predsjednik Vladimir Putin izjavio je 5. rujna da se osoblje u 1. i 2. armijskom korpusu (oružane snage DNR i LNR) bolje bore u Donbasu od profesionalnih ruskih vojnika. ISW smatra da Putinovi komentari imaju za cilj promicanje novačenja u okupiranim regijama te preusmjeravanje izvještavanja o ratu u ruskom medijskom prostoru.
Ruske snage, naime sve više se oslanjaju na vojsku DNR-a i LNR-a kao temeljne borbene snage, a Moskva nastoji retorički podići njihovu ulogu u ratu kako bi poboljšali regrutiranje i podigli moral jer imaju cilj do 15. rujna zauzeti kompletnu Donjecku oblast. Ukrajinski centar otpora izvijestio je da okupacijske vlasti žele mobilizirati 10 000 stanovnika iz Luganske oblasti i koriste podatke o upisu u škole kako bi prisilno mobilizirale očeve školske djece koja pohađaju obrazovne ustanove pod ruskom upravom.
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Šef Luganske oblasti Serhij Haidai također je izjavio da vlasti u LNR-u daju zaposlenicima poduzeća u vlasništvu LNR-a regrutacijske kvote kako bi potaknuli regrutiranje vojnika po ugovoru u zamjenu za obećanja dodatne plaće i produžene sigurnosti radnog mjesta.
Isto tako ruske vlasti očito pokušavaju regrutirati i ljude koji nisu sposobni za vojnu službu zbog fizičkih i psihičkih bolesti, što dodatno ukazuje na to da su tradicionalni izvori borbene moći sve više iscrpljeni. Psihoneurološki dispanzer u Petrogradu objavio je oglase za novačenje vojske na svoju web stranicu koje je kasnije izbrisao. Ukrajinski Glavni stožer primijetio je da ruske vlasti prisilno mobiliziraju vojno sposobne muškarce s raznim bolestima i ozljedama iz bolnica u okupiranim područjima Donjecke oblasti.
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Zbog pojačanih borbenih djelovanja i sigurnosnih razloga šef okupirane oblasti Hersona, Kiril Stremousov, rekao je za rusku agenciju TASS da je njegova administracija pauzirala planove za održavanje referendum o aneksije ove regije. Nakon što su isto izvijestili i Ukrajinci, Stremousov je objavio na kanalu Telegram kako nije pozvao na stanku nego da tobože njegova administracija nikada nije ni odredila službeni datum referenduma.
Institut za proučavanje rata ističe kako Stremousovljeve izjave ukazuju na visoku razinu dezorganizacije unutar okupacijskih vlasti dodatno poljuljane učincima protuofenzive. Ukrajinske snage svojim akcijama namjeravaju postupno neutralizirati i poništiti ruske taktičke i operativne sposobnosti u regiji Herson, što bi trebalo utjecati i na birokratske sposobnosti okupacijskih vlasti.
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Američki Institut za proučavanje rata (ISW) objavio je novu kartu bojišnice u Ukrajini, a u svojoj analizi tvrde kako ukrajinska protuofenziva značajno slabi ruske logističke i administrativne mogućnosti na okupiranom jugu zemlje. Kao što je ISW ranije izvijestio, plan je ukrajinskih trupa da preciznim napadima na mjesta povećane ruske koncentracije ljudstva i opreme, zapovjedne centre i opskrbne čvorove smanje njihove logističke sposobnosti u području Hersona. Da se neki ruski planovi prolongiraju zbog ukrajinskih borbenih akcija pokazuje i to što lokalne vlasti na okupiranim područjima još nisu uspjele raspisati izjašnjavanje o aneksiji.
ISW primjećuje da su ukrajinski vojni dužnosnici operativno šutjeli o napretku ukrajinske protuofenzive, ali su izvijestili o daljnjem uništavanju ruskih kopnenih linija komunikacije (GLOC) u središtu regije Herson.
Ukrajinsko Južno operativno zapovjedništvo izvijestilo je da su ukrajinske snage oborile dvije ruske izviđačke bespilotne letjelice u mjestu Vysokopillya, no nisu naveli kako su osvojili to područje. Institut je pak procijenio da su ukrajinske snage zauzele naselje 4. rujna na osnovu nekoliko video snimaka na društvenim mrežama.
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S druge strane, veličajući njihova ulogu u borbama, Kremlj pokušava dodatno mobilizirati stanovnike okupiranih područja u regionalne dobrovoljačke bataljuna kako bi nadoknadili ruske gubitke u Ukrajini.
Ruski predsjednik Vladimir Putin izjavio je 5. rujna da se osoblje u 1. i 2. armijskom korpusu (oružane snage DNR i LNR) bolje bore u Donbasu od profesionalnih ruskih vojnika. ISW smatra da Putinovi komentari imaju za cilj promicanje novačenja u okupiranim regijama te preusmjeravanje izvještavanja o ratu u ruskom medijskom prostoru.
Ruske snage, naime sve više se oslanjaju na vojsku DNR-a i LNR-a kao temeljne borbene snage, a Moskva nastoji retorički podići njihovu ulogu u ratu kako bi poboljšali regrutiranje i podigli moral jer imaju cilj do 15. rujna zauzeti kompletnu Donjecku oblast. Ukrajinski centar otpora izvijestio je da okupacijske vlasti žele mobilizirati 10 000 stanovnika iz Luganske oblasti i koriste podatke o upisu u škole kako bi prisilno mobilizirale očeve školske djece koja pohađaju obrazovne ustanove pod ruskom upravom.
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Šef Luganske oblasti Serhij Haidai također je izjavio da vlasti u LNR-u daju zaposlenicima poduzeća u vlasništvu LNR-a regrutacijske kvote kako bi potaknuli regrutiranje vojnika po ugovoru u zamjenu za obećanja dodatne plaće i produžene sigurnosti radnog mjesta.
Isto tako ruske vlasti očito pokušavaju regrutirati i ljude koji nisu sposobni za vojnu službu zbog fizičkih i psihičkih bolesti, što dodatno ukazuje na to da su tradicionalni izvori borbene moći sve više iscrpljeni. Psihoneurološki dispanzer u Petrogradu objavio je oglase za novačenje vojske na svoju web stranicu koje je kasnije izbrisao. Ukrajinski Glavni stožer primijetio je da ruske vlasti prisilno mobiliziraju vojno sposobne muškarce s raznim bolestima i ozljedama iz bolnica u okupiranim područjima Donjecke oblasti.
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Zbog pojačanih borbenih djelovanja i sigurnosnih razloga šef okupirane oblasti Hersona, Kiril Stremousov, rekao je za rusku agenciju TASS da je njegova administracija pauzirala planove za održavanje referendum o aneksije ove regije. Nakon što su isto izvijestili i Ukrajinci, Stremousov je objavio na kanalu Telegram kako nije pozvao na stanku nego da tobože njegova administracija nikada nije ni odredila službeni datum referenduma.
Institut za proučavanje rata ističe kako Stremousovljeve izjave ukazuju na visoku razinu dezorganizacije unutar okupacijskih vlasti dodatno poljuljane učincima protuofenzive. Ukrajinske snage svojim akcijama namjeravaju postupno neutralizirati i poništiti ruske taktičke i operativne sposobnosti u regiji Herson, što bi trebalo utjecati i na birokratske sposobnosti okupacijskih vlasti.
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17. svibanj 2024 09:34
